SSG exclusive: Re-evaluation of Iran deal Underway at White House

Nick Short

2 months ago

July 17, 2017

In an op-ed published yesterday in The Hill  by John R. Bolton, a former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations and a former undersecretary of state for arms control and international security affairs, Bolton calls on the Trump Administration to withdraw from the Iran Nuclear Deal. Specifically, Bolton notes that the 2015 nuclear deal with the Security Council’s five permanent members and Germany, known formally as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), is insufficient given that it is palpably harmful to American national interests. Bolton writes, “over the past two years, considerable information detailing Tehran’s violations of the deal have become public, including: exceeding limits on uranium enrichment and production of heavy water; illicit efforts at international procurement of dual-use nuclear and missile technology; and obstructing international inspection efforts.” Furthermore, “since international verification is fatally inadequate, and our own intelligence far from perfect, these violations undoubtedly only scratch the surface of the ayatollahs’ inexhaustible mendaciousness,” notes Bolton.

This morning Bolton put out a tweet calling for the Trump Administration to withdraw from the Nuclear Deal with Iran.

Given some of the responses, it would be wise for the Trump Administration to listen to Bolton as well as the American people.

Of course the “billions” that Gabby is referring to is the secret cash and gold payments facilitated by the Obama administration to Iran between 2014 and 2016. As Mark Dubowitz, executive director at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies notes, in total, “Iran may have received as much as $33.6 billion in cash or in gold and other precious metals.”  According to Dubowitz’s testimony before Congress last year, Dubowitz informed the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation that the JCPOA is fatally flawed in that it “provides Iran with a patient pathway to nuclear weapons capability by placing limited, temporary, and reversible constraints on Iran’s nuclear activities. These nuclear sunset provisions, which will begin to expire in seven years and mostly disappear over a period of ten to fifteen years, leave Iran as a threshold nuclear power with an industrial-size uranium enrichment and plutonium program, near-zero nuclear breakout capacity, an advanced centrifuge-powered clandestine sneakout capability, advanced ballistic missile and ICBM programs, access to advanced heavy weaponry, greater regional hegemony, and a more powerful economy that could be immune to Western sanctions.”

Lastly, as Bolton recently tweeted, Iran has indeed already violated the in many ways by exceeding limits on uranium enrichment, illicit efforts at procurement of technology & more.

We at SSG agree with Bolton’s analysis as well as Mike’s warning, it would be wise for the National Security Council to abandon the notion that recertification of the JCPOA is in America’s best interest, let alone even possible at this point. According to SSG’s sources, this is currently being debated within the White House. President Trump must act soon though as the more time passes, the closer Iran gets to becoming a nuclear power. As Senator Tom Cotton stated on the two-year anniversary of the Iran deal on July 14, 2017, “Tehran has repeatedly violated the terms of the deal by operating too many advanced centrifuges, exceeding limits on heavy-water stocks, and refusing to grant inspectors access to nuclear-research and military facilities.” Cotton concludes, “continuing sanctions relief for such a recalcitrant regime is directly against our national interest. The State Department should decline to certify that Iran is in compliance with the JCPOA and hold the regime accountable for its double-dealing.”

About the Author

Nick Short

Nick is a political analyst & consultant specializing in social media management and intelligence. Nick received his BS in Criminology and Criminal Justice from Northern Arizona University, and his work has been published at Conservative Review at at his own website, Political Short.